The engine, scored in public
Every day the engine ranks that day's UK & Ireland races from the free data feed and stores its picks before the races run. Official results attach afterwards. This page is that record — wins and misses both, nothing cherry-picked.
Not betting advice. The engine is a probabilistic aid that shows its reasons — it does not guarantee outcomes, and a positive week proves nothing on its own.
Two eras in this record. Market data began flowing for UK & Ireland races on 6 August 2026. Before that date the feed carried no prices, so those picks ran on a different formula — the market factor, the largest weight in the engine, contributed nothing to them. Measured 2026-07-29 over 608 GB/IRE races (a subset of this record), the top pick won 12.55% against a 12.09% random baseline: 1.04×, indistinguishable from random. Anchoring applies wherever a price was present at capture time, not automatically to every pick dated after the switch. The numbers below pool both eras — splitting them out is a measurement not yet run.
Same math as the in-app analytics: win rate is how often the engine's #1 pick won, ROI is a flat 1-unit win bet on every top pick, Brier scores the honesty of the win probabilities. The random baseline is the chance a random pick wins, averaged per race (mean of 1/field size across races, not 1/average field size).
Results land a median 50.4 minutes after the off
Measured on 2413 UK, Ireland and US races over the last 14 days; worst gap inside a day, 794 minutes. 23 races took longer than 24 hours to record and are counted separately. This is when the official result reached our database, not when the race was declared.
UK & Ireland 28.1 min (767 races) · US 71.4 min (1646 races)
Recent vs. all time
| Window | Races | Win | Top-3 | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 days | 123 | 15.4% | 34.1% | — |
| All time | 2534 | 21.0% | 47.7% | -15.9% |
Day by day
Top-pick wins over races scored, per race day.
- 31 Aug6/53
- 1 Sept16/46
- 2 Sept14/55
- 3 Sept24/64
- 4 Sept13/57
- 5 Sept22/71
- 6 Sept3/17
- 7 Sept6/15
- 8 Sept4/25
- 9 Sept1/13
- 10 Sept1/12
- 11 Sept5/18
- 12 Sept2/21
- 13 Sept0/19
The last 10 settled races
Misses included. The engine's pick, where it finished, and who actually won.
- 11 Gulu GogoSha Tin R9 · Oi Tung Handicap · 13 Sept9thwon: 5 Lucy In The Sky
- Word Of KindnessSha Tin R7 · Mei Tung Handicap · 13 Septunplacedwon: 12 Absolute Awakened
- 9 Road To GlorySha Tin R5 · Lok Wah Handicap · 13 Sept8thwon: 2 Kempes
- 1 Grand TurboSha Tin R3 · Hong Tung Handicap · 13 Sept9thwon: 13 Draco
- 8 Legendary ImpactSha Tin R1 · Hong Tung Handicap · 13 Sept11thwon: 10 Rattan Galaxy
- 4 Flow Water FlowSha Tin R10 · Yiu Tung Handicap · 13 Sept4thwon: 12 Nyx Gluck
- 1 Solid StateSha Tin R8 · Wah Fu Handicap · 13 Sept2ndwon: 10 Alpha Strike
- 7 Beauty MissileSha Tin R6 · The Tung Wah Group Of Hospitals Challenge Cup (Handicap) · 13 Sept8thwon: 13 Luck Is Back
- 4 Prime AceSha Tin R4 · Lok Wah Handicap · 13 Sept3rdwon: 2 Happy Shooter
- 1 High PraiseSha Tin R2 · Hing Wah Handicap · 13 Sept8thwon: 8 Ruby Thrive
What this covers. UK & Ireland races from the free data feed the engine scores automatically each morning, running since 12 July 2026 (latest settled day: 13 Sept). Manual and scanned cards are personal to each user and are not in these numbers. The sample is still small — read it accordingly.
Updated every 15 minutes from stored predictions and official results. For the same weights run blind over a 395,186-race historic archive — with that test's own limits stated up front — see the validation backtest.